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Casselton, North Dakota 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Casselton ND
National Weather Service Forecast for: Casselton ND
Issued by: National Weather Service Grand Forks, ND
Updated: 4:30 pm CDT Jun 26, 2025
 
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: A 50 percent chance of showers.  Cloudy, with a steady temperature around 62. East wind around 9 mph.  New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Chance
Showers
Tonight

Tonight: A 10 percent chance of showers before 7pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. East wind 5 to 8 mph becoming light and variable  in the evening.
Slight Chance
Showers then
Mostly Cloudy
Friday

Friday: Patchy fog before 8am.  Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Light southeast wind becoming south southeast 6 to 11 mph in the morning.
Patchy Fog
then Sunny
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 3am.  Increasing clouds, with a low around 63. South wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
T-storms
Likely
Saturday

Saturday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. South southeast wind around 9 mph becoming west in the afternoon.  New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Partly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. North northwest wind 6 to 8 mph becoming west after midnight.
Chance
T-storms
Sunday

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Breezy, with a west northwest wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Mostly Sunny
then Sunny
and Breezy
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60. West northwest wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Mostly Clear

Monday

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 82. Northwest wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Sunny

Hi 62 °F Lo 55 °F Hi 81 °F Lo 63 °F Hi 87 °F Lo 63 °F Hi 84 °F Lo 60 °F Hi 82 °F

 

This Afternoon
 
A 50 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with a steady temperature around 62. East wind around 9 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight
 
A 10 percent chance of showers before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. East wind 5 to 8 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.
Friday
 
Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Light southeast wind becoming south southeast 6 to 11 mph in the morning.
Friday Night
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 3am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 63. South wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. South southeast wind around 9 mph becoming west in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. North northwest wind 6 to 8 mph becoming west after midnight.
Sunday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Breezy, with a west northwest wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Sunday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 60. West northwest wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Monday
 
Sunny, with a high near 82. Northwest wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Monday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 58. West wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Tuesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 84. Northwest wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tuesday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly clear, with a low around 59. North wind 6 to 10 mph becoming east in the evening.
Wednesday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Southeast wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Wednesday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. South southeast wind 9 to 11 mph.
Thursday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. South southeast wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Casselton ND.

Weather Forecast Discussion
493
FXUS63 KFGF 262131
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
431 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- There is a 2 out of 5 risk for severe thunderstorm chances for
  late Friday afternoon into evening, as well as on Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 345 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

...Synopsis...

Weak mid level wave can be seen on water vapor imagery moving
through the tri-state area into northern Minnesota. This is
resulting in light rain for southeast ND, west-central MN, and
into north-central MN. With dry air near the low levels and lack
of instability combined with weak forcing with this wave, very
little is anticipated in terms of accumulation, generally less
than three tenths of an inch.

As this wave departs, lingering low clouds and cooling overnight
may result in areas of fog overnight into early morning Saturday
within the Red River Valley, eastern ND, and portions of west-
central MN. Some fog may be dense.

For Friday, instability increases over central ND by late
afternoon. This develops ahead of a low amplitude shortwave
trough moving out of the northern High Plains into SK/MB by
Friday evening, with attendant weak front draped north to south
across western ND. The shortwave will provide sufficient wind
shear and forcing to bring a chance for strong to severe
thunderstorms within portions of central North Dakota into
perhaps the Devils Lake basin by sunset Saturday. Eventual
upscale growth is favored as storms trek east/southeast during
the overnight hours, potentially bringing strong to severe
storms within the rest of eastern ND into portions of MN before
sunrise Saturday.

Depending on evolution of storms Friday night, ongoing storms
may be strong to severe Saturday morning. Guidance does favor a
lull in thunderstorm activity around midday Saturday before
additional thunderstorms become possible again, most likely near
west-central MN. These may be strong to severe.

Longwave trough and attendant cold front moves through the
region overnight Saturday or Sunday morning, ushering in dryer
conditions. Northwest flow and drier air mass intrusions should
promote below average precipitation, lower thunderstorm chances,
as well as near average temperatures.

... Severe risk for Friday and Saturday ...

Should storms be more discrete (more likely for locations
closer to central ND like Devils Lake basin), large hail to size
of golf balls along with wind to 70 mph. Eventual upscale
growth would favor smaller hail but still holding the potential
for gusts to 70 mph. Tornadoes are unlikely given the overall
lack of low level shear oriented in an unfavorable orientation
with respect to expected storm motion. There is a small subset
of guidance that even shows lack of thunderstorms with capping
too strong for forcing associated with the shortwave aloft
bypassing the region as it moves quicker into Canada.

Low level jet develops out of South Dakota, which should
continue to promote upstream development of thunderstorm
segments closer to southeast ND into west-central MN overnight
hours of Friday into early Saturday.

Saturday, rich instability axis moves south and east, with a
surface low/trough development in eastern SD into central MN.
Majority of guidance favors development on the northern flank of
rich instability, which may still be in portions of west-central
Minnesota by peak heating. Should storms develop here, all
hazards including large hail and tornadoes will be possible,
particularly during the first 3 hours of initiation before
upscale growth is then favored to pull thunderstorms deeper into
MN and out of our area.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 136 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

Area of IFR to MVFR ceilings will continue at TAF sites like
KFAR and KBJI through at least 15Z. There is a medium chance
for additional IFR to MVFR ceilings at other sites between
06Z-15Z, in addition to low chance for dense fog at KDVL, KFAR,
and KGFK. Chose to leave the fog out of TAFs for now given low
confidence in its occurrence over these areas.

Otherwise, lighter winds under 10kt will prevail, excluding
KBJI where winds between 10-20kt out of the northeast will
prevail through 00Z.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CJ
AVIATION...CJ
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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